THE GALLON ENVIRONMENT LETTER
Canadian
Institute for Business and the Environment
Fisherville,
Ontario, Canada
Tel. 416
410-0432, Fax: 416 362-5231
Vol. 15, No. 1, March 26, 2010
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ABOUT THIS
ISSUE
The Annual Meeting of the American Association
for the Advancement of Science is billed as the largest annual general science
conference in the world. At this year's conference, held last month in San
Diego, close to 30% of papers related to environmental topics. In this issue we
are providing an overview of some of the more interesting presentations and
sessions, several of which focused on various aspects of climate change. Others
focused on such topics as biotechnology and geoengineering, even going so far as
to suggest that humans may be able to outperform nature in running global
systems.
We also share some notes from a conference
handout called Bad Presentation Bingo. This should be a must-read for all
presenters. Otherwise many presenters may be hearing BINGO in a lot of the
conference halls in which they are speaking!
The editorial in this issue is about apple
pie. You may wonder why, but there is a strong link between the federal
government's food labelling rules and our ability to preferentially purchase
locally processed foods. The Canadian government did not get it right the first
time around, in part because of the way it makes policy, something that can
affect all corporate victims of federal government regulations. Our editorial
hopes they have learned from their mistake and will do better in
future.
In response to our article on the Ontario
green universities initiative we have a Letter to the Editor on another
post-secondary greening initiative. Well done, Georgian College. We also catch
you up on a couple of items in our 30 Second Summary section, we look at Ontario
Nature's views on desirable natural heritage policies, we review a mathematics
book which has a lot to do with the way we approach environmental issues, and we
look at one of the nominees for a Globe Award. They weren't the winner but we
think the company has much to commend it.
While reporting on AAAS and implicitly
advocating the important role that science plays in the environment and the
economy, we could not help but notice a recent report from the Climate Action
Network which suggests that the federal government is once again muzzling its
scientists. If the government responds we will let you know. While mentioning
Big Brother, there is a group in the UK that is worried that incorporation of
microchips in garbage cans may be a serious invasion of privacy. GL is not aware
of any Canadian municipality that is currently using microchips in garbage or
recycling bins but it would seem to be the kind of thing that could come. Chips
could report not only on weight but other aspects of our recycling and garbage
habits. If consumer products also contains chips, the day could be not too far
off when our garbage bin chip contains all the information about the goods we
are discarding. We have no doubt that some companies and municipalities are
studying this possibility - maybe we should start the discussion on whether or
not it is a 'good thing'.
In our next issue we will be looking a recent
developments in the area of water quantity and quality. Water is rapidly
becoming as important an issue as energy. Stay tuned and while you are waiting
for the next issue let us know what you think of this issue. Send Letters to the
Editor to editor@gallonletter.ca
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CURRENT
FEDERAL POLICY BAD FOR APPLE PIE
In 2007 the Prime Minister announced that any
product labelled as 'Product of Canada' must be 'grown in Canada, processed in
Canada, and packaged in Canada by Canadian farmers and producers. The policy
decision arose from a media campaign, apparently led by the CBC, to overturn the
then existing rule that a Product of Canada description could be applied to any
product that contained 51% of Canadian value-added content. Under the old rule a
marmalade, for example, could be labelled as 'Product of Canada' as long as it
was made in Canada from imported oranges and sugar, with the Canadian effort
comprising more than 51% of the product's value. The critics felt that 'Product
of Canada' should mean that a product is entirely Canadian. The Prime Minister
apparently agreed and achieved a great deal of positive press for introducing
the new initiative.
As we pointed out at the time, the new rules
have made it virtually impossible to legally market an apple pie as a 'Product
of Canada' because there is not enough Canadian grown and processed sugar to
make a commercial apple pie that meets the rule of no more than 2% foreign
content in a 'Product of Canada' product. Of course, the problem extends to much
more than apple pie: the major result of the new 'Product of Canada' rule has
been that this label has virtually disappeared from retail store shelves.
Farmers who grow foods commonly incorporated into processed products had hoped
to benefit from a resurgence of interest in products of Canada. Instead,
products labelled as 'Product of Canada' have disappeared and Canadian farmers
are forced to compete with foreign product without the benefit of a 'Product of
Canada' label.
The Canadian Food Inspection Agency has
noticed that the new 'Product of Canada' labelling rules are not working and has
initiated yet another consultation on the topic. This month they plan to launch
an online consultation to consider changing the rules to exempt ingredients
which are difficult to find in Canada. This will mean that a 'Product of Canada'
apple pie, and thousands of other products which have been disqualified from a
'Product of Canada' label since the government's ill-conceived 2008
policy.
Product of Canada food labels are important
not only to consumers but also to farmers, food processors, including smaller
companies, and retailers. Buying Local means not only buying local fresh product
but also buying locally processed products whenever possible. Consumers need
information that will help them buy products that are made from as much Canadian
content as is reasonable. For example, in an apple pie, if the apples are
Canadian and the flour is Canadian, it is GL's view that most reasonable people
would call it a Product of Canada apple pie.
Ridiculously strict labelling requirements
inhibit consumer choice and hurt Canadian farmers. It is surprising to us that a
Cabinet that claims to support smaller government and less regulation is
allowing its bureaucracy to spend time on exempting "specific ingredients which
are difficult to find in Canada" from labelling rules. Is this a priority for
spending of tax dollars? But after making policy on the fly and finding that bad
policy hurts farmers and does not help consumers, maybe having a second
consultation within two years on the same topic is the only way out of the mess
that should not have been created in the first place.
GL urges readers to sign up for the Canadian
Food Inspection Agency consultation on 'Product of Canada' labelling rules. We
think that a sensible policy would state that a product qualifies for a 'Product
of Canada' label if the principle ingredients are grown in Canada. Do we need
more complexity than that?
Colin Isaacs
Editor
By the way, do not be fooled by the fact that
CFIA calls its rule 'guidelines'. These 'guidelines' exist to guide inspectors
in making decisions about misleading advertising, which is a serious offence in
Canada. In effect, the 'guidelines' are rules with which all food processors and
retailers must comply.
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BRIDGING
SCIENCE AND SOCIETY: 2010 AAAS ANNUAL MEETING
****************************************************
The American Association for the Advancement
of Science AAAS conference attracts thousands of people and comes with a program
agenda of 175 pages. Although four days of sessions can't be covered in any
detail in this GL issue, the range of topics related to environment
included:
- smart and secure transmission grids for US
and EU renewable power. GL was interested to note that EU researchers were
reasonably sympathetic to the idea that people don't want to have windmills in
their backyards.
- the need to identify and protect marine
ecosystems, using technology for managing sustainable fisheries and the
importance of marine protected areas. Simon Donner of the University of
British Columbia suggests that some coral reefs are naturally resilient and if
protected from overfishing and sediment pollution could survive global
warming.
- science to support toxic chemicals policy;
early exposure may affect the development of a human being throughout their
lifetime
- how local agriculture and other innovations
can help those at the "bottom-of-the-economic-pyramid". For example, Victoria
Hale established OneWorld Health to supply drugs for neglected diseases in the
developing world.
- Visualization techniques which help
decision-makers see the effect of their decisions through software. One of the
examples show a decisions about how many boats to allow for artisanal fishing
with visual display of the number of fish and number of boats over
time.
- nuclear power and nuclear waste
management.
- the future of fusion.
- sustainability innovations by harnessing both
science and society. For example, an international meta-network for
sustainablity science, community-based innovation for sustainable urban
development in Africa and educating sustainable engineers.
- the science of well-being and implications
for societal quality of life.
- various sessions on adapting to the impact of
climate change and informing effective decisions and actions related to
climate change.
- sea-ice loss and implications for arctic
marine ecosystems.
- endocrine disrupting agents in the laboratory
and home. One of the speakers was Theo Colborn, known for her writing on this
topic. Another speaker suggested that instead of worrying about BPA, a greater
concern was the increasing amount of soy products people are ingesting which
has the potential to have greater endocrine disruption impact.
- a session organized by Jennifer Jacquet of
University of British Columbia Fisheries Centre in Vancouver on what
encourages people to cooperate and how companies seeking to protect their
reputation improve environmental behaviours to protect the global commons.
John Hocevar of Greenpeace USA provided examples of retailers selling more
sustainable seafood.
- a session with speaker Peter Nicholson from
the Council of Canadian Academies suggesting that the expert panel used to be
a good way for science to speak truth to power. Changes due to information
technology may make this less effective in the future, "In the Twitter world,
quick and dirty wins. This challenges the basic precepts of the expert panel
process ie elite consensus based on careful sifting of the evidence,
exhaustively documented."
- Fiona Williams of Ericcson GmbH, an
information technology company, suggests that when science goes global, that
entrepreneurs and companies can win by "having a strategy that relates to the
advantage of your location, actively shaping them to your benefit and that
fits to the global context."
- and much, much more.
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WE LIVE IN
UNPRECEDENTED TIMES: INTEGRATIVE SCIENCE FOR SOCIETY AND THE
ENVIRONMENT
Philip Robertson from Michigan State
University spoke of the importance of dealing with environmental challenges by
understanding the interface between social and ecological systems. Research in
the US and elsewhere tends to be conducted in separate and traditional fields,
biophysical or social with few formal interactions. He suggests that a new
framework is needed to better understand:
- how humans perceive the critical services
provided by the ecosystems.
- how these perceptions change behaviour and
institutions
- how change to behaviour and institutions can
affect the ecosystems and their ability to provide future
services.
The US Long-term Ecological Research Network
began its 30th year this year to develop such a framework (called the
Integrative Science for Society and Environment (ISSE) framework) applicable to
different ecosystems such as arctic tundra, eastern forests, deserts, croplands
and cities.
Examples of some of the work includes research
on a low-input, high diversity prairie restoration to produce biofuels and
environmental benefits, a summer ecology program for low-income children called
"Ecology Explorers" in Phoenix and an EcoTrends database with research sites and
datasets to help determine the direction of changes of plant, animal, microbial
and human populations, climate, land cover and habitat
availability.
Robertson, G. Philip, Michigan State
University. Integrated Science for Society and the Environment. 2010 AAAS Annual
Meeting. February 19, 2010.
Paid subscribers see link to original documents and references
here.
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SCAMS IN
CLIMATE DEBATE
The session on climate change skepticism was
lively and full and the focus was mainly on the reality of climate change and
countering the misperceptions created by the mass media and the small circle of
climate skeptics, "a small circle of ideologically orientated 'think tanks' that
are partly funded by fossil fuel interests.". As mentioned in GL's last issue,
William Freudenburg of the University of California identifies the tactic of
media covering supposed debates about the reality of climate change as
"Scientific Certainty Argumentation Methods, or SCAMS". The public doesn't
really understand that science isn't black and white certainty but is a gradual
and cumulative improvement in understanding. Special interest groups exploit the
"uncertainty", saying that there isn't a consensus. Freudenberg says "Similar
SCAMs were used in fights against the regulation of cigarette smoking, asbestos,
agricultural chemicals and even the use of lead in gasoline." He suggests that
even scientists may downshift their statements to accommodate these opposing
views, to be fair, resulting in consensus statements. such as that of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, potentially understating the
significance of the problems facing the world. The intense scrutiny supplied by
the climate sceptics/outliers is, however, likely to ensure that climate change
findings prove more credible in the long term.
GL notes that there were no speakers that we
heard who came anywhere close to being a climate skeptic. The most common
response to our question, "What do you think of those who don't believe in
climate change" was "They will." But there was no session anywhere presenting
the much-touted facts and supposed controversy so much talked of by the climate
sceptics. In one session there was one audience member who asked a question
which may have indicated a degree of scepticism but overall it seems that
sceptics do not wish to be identified at mainstream science
conferences.
Freudenberg, William R. Understanding
climate-change skepticism: its sources and strategies. 2010 AAAS Annual Meeting.
February 22, 2010.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
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PEER
REVIEW
The 2010 AAAS had its own buzz. When GL's
editor was strolling through the high-noise crowd at the reception to promote
Canadian science hosted by David Fransen, Canadian Consul General in Los
Angeles, the words most commonly overheard were publish, published, publishing,
etc. When research articles are peer-reviewed, there is a certain level of
scrutiny by other scientists. Peer review doesn't eliminate all fraud as a few
fraudulent papers have passed peer review and been published in credible science
journals. Recent controversy about two papers on dog cloning in 2004 and 2005
have created discussion in the science community about how to strengthen peer
review but the idea that full third-party audits be required which would include
replicating some or all of the experiment/study before publication would mean
science research publication would crawl to a halt. Some suggest there are over
40,000 scientific journals.
While science relies on the ability of others
to replicate the experiment, scientists are more likely to get published and
recognized if their work is new and innovative. While that new revelation may be
significant and important, what may be even more significant and important is
followup studies to replicate the results which may show flaws, or support the
original results. Sometimes those replicative studies don't get done. Even
peer-reviewed, some findings are more credible than others. Some peer-reviewed
articles are not very good or even wrong: some researchers, some journals, some
peer reviewers have higher standards than others. Meta-analysis are sometimes
used to provide statistical data of a large number of studies integrating the
features of the studies and the outcomes from published literature; this
sometimes helps to identify outlier studies which are inconsistent usually due
to small sample size or other design feature compared to those studies with
generally accepted results. Occasionally, the outlier studies may indicate the
need for more studies to check why there is the inconsistency.
Another issue is that environmental issues
cross traditional scientific disciplines, making it much more difficult to peer
review because reviewers are rarely expert in a range of science
topics.
Errors by scientific experts can have serious
results. For example when Canadian forensic pathologist Charles Smith identified
sudden infant deaths as child murder, parents went to jail. In this case, peer
review through publication doesn't apply but building in another form of expert
review or redundancy as a second, or, if the consequences are severe, even a
third, opinion might be necessary. Critics of "corporate science", ie research
funded solely by the private sector which forms the basis of many policy
decisions by government, say that public research must be funded and conducted
to ensure the public interest is protected.
Peer review is not perfect but may be the same
as democracy which Winston Churchill said was the worst form of government
except for all the other forms that have been tried. Fostering trust by ensuring
integrity and honesty isn't a problem of science alone. GL thought of this when
reading a news story about John Felderhof who was speaking on due diligence and
independent assessments of companies doing assay tests in mining at the 2010
Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada. In 1997, PDAC awarded him
Prospector of the Year award for his work as chief geologist and vice-chairman
of Bre-X, a company claiming an extraordinary gold find in Indonesia, When the
claim was found to be a (very big) fraud, the collapse of the company became a
very big mining scandal. Felderhof was found not guilty of insider trading and
never faced criminal charges.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
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SCIENTISTS
POPULARIZING SCIENCE
Some advocate that scientists ought not to
speak on anything except the science they research and then only very
specifically on the research itself. Others such as Stephen Schneider, a climate
research scientist at Stanford University, said that scientists should enter
into public debate on policy issues as advocates or science popularizers,
"Because I have a PhD is not a reason to 'hang up my citizenship at the door' of
a public meeting - we too are entitled to personal opinions. But, we also have a
special obligation to make our value judgements explicit and to separate them
explicitly from the scientific assessment process....An effective
scientist-popularizer must balance the need to be heard (good sound bites) with
the responsibility to be honest (all the caveats)..We must be both honest and
effective-but this is never fully possible in the world of 20 second
sound-bites. So the use of metaphors that convey both the urgency and
uncertainty are necessary."
Schneider has written a book called Science as
a Contact Sport which describes his own "scientific odyssey, navigating in both
the turbulent waters of the world’s power structures and the arcane theatre of
academic debaters."
Schneider, Stephen, Stanford University.
Communication, Policy and Climate Change. Session: Communicating on the State
and Local Level: How can Scientists Support Policy-Makers. AAAS 2010
Presentation. February 19 2019.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
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MONSANTO:
DOUBLING THE DOUBLESPEAK
Robert T. Fraley, PhD, Executive VP, Chief
Technology Officer, Monsanto, gave one of the Topical Lecture Series at the AAAS
Annual Meeting on February 21. It was titled Sustainable Solutions for Doubling
Crop Productivity by 2030. Unlike the other presentations where the scientists
were generally restrained both in their use of language and their conclusions,
Fraley was on the extravagant side in his language about Monsanto's
biotechnology: "unprecedented with new types of solutions", "new and different
solutions", "interesting times", "exciting" and "fantastic", If there is a
problem, Monsanto apparently is the solution (also apparently with no negative
effect or downsides) including global food security, water availability,
phosphorous pollution, climate change, biofuels, benefits and improving the
lives of farmers around the world, proven economic and environmental benefits, a
cycle of wealth, health benefits from an expansion of soy food ingredients in
yoghurt and more, obesity and more.
The downsides such as the recent announcement
by Monsanto that a cotton bollworm has developed resistance to Bacillus
thuringiensis genetics in GM cotton in India were not mentioned. Resistance is
not new to GM but the widespread use of these crops with this single feature
makes it more probable that some pests will become resistant. One of the
concerns of organically certified farmers is that pests made resistant to BT by
genetically modified crops make one of the relatively few organic pest control
measures (BT applied directly) ineffective. Similarly there is a growing concern
about weeds now resistant to glyphosate, the herbicide used to kill weeds in
crops with the gene inserted to survive the herbicide. Growth of resistant weeds
may mean farmers have to adopt more tillage or use additional pesticides. Some
weed scientists have recommended over some years now that farmers not plant GM
crops with glyphosate applications repeatedly in the same field on an annual
basis as the weed pressures from some of the resistant weeds are going to get
worse.
Fraley spoke of a target to double yields of
corn, canola and soybeans by 2030 (base 2000) and to reduce by 1/3 the inputs
required per unit of output. Along the way, it turned out that he wasn't
committing Monsanto to fulfill this promised target (or at least not
alone.)
Monsanto describes itself on one hand as just
an agricultural company working with simply bugs and seeds and on the other hand
as a technology company with a megachipper which can splice hundreds of
thousands of seeds by robots to generate source material for genetically
modified seed. Fraley too has a similar persona describing himself as a farm boy
when the yield on his father's farm was apparently low compared to today. Again,
it seems that it must be Monsanto responsible for this yield increase, else why
mention, it but perhaps not. In its advertising, Monsanto often uses the term
"higher yield potential" rather than promising to increase yield but yield is
obviously what is being marketed.
With the theme of the AAAS annual conference
"Bridging Science and Society", Fraley gave a good demonstration of how to
communicate and to make a strong effort to persuade and it is to his credit that
he understands that having a high profile at a science conference increases
credibility and is good for business. However GL thinks the AAAS made a mistake
hosting this session as part of its science lectures when it was such overt
corporate public relations talk. Even Fraley seemed to acknowledge that he was
giving a set promo-speech when he said that this time he threw in a photo of the
megachipper because it was a science conference. Overall, the AAAS has
reasonably high standards for vetting speakers and sessions e.g. speakers have
to declare conflict of interest.
Fraley, Robert. Sustainable Solutions for
Doubling Crop Productivity by 2030. Topical Lecture. AAAS. San Diego,
California: February 21, 2010.
Paid subscribers see link to original documents and references
here.
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UNION OF
CONCERNED SCIENTISTS CHALLENGES MONSANTO CLAIMS
The US-based Union of Concerned Scientists, a
non-governmental group of scientists and citizens, distributed a press release
asking that "Journalists covering Fraley's talk should probe his assertions."
(see above article) In 2009, the group produced two reports and funded a
third covering GM crops and pesticides, fertilizer use and yields. Just in terms
of yield, an April 2009 report by UCS Senior scientist Doug Gurian-Sherman found
that genetic engineering has had little impact on crop yields. Yields for both
corn and soybeans have increased over the last 13 years but mostly due to
traditional breeding or improvements in agricultural practices. GM crops were
introduced to North America in the mid-1990s.
GL notes that the literature indicates that in
the US, for example, yield changed little between 1866 to 1930 but increased
rapidly from 1950 with corn yields doubling between 1950 and 1977 with a
five-fold increase from 1950 to 2005. Soybean yields increased by four times
between 1924 and 2005. Although yield gains are distributed unevenly in
diffferent geographic areas and in different times, similar yield gains were
seen worldwide and for different crops such as rice, wheat and other crops. Huge
yield gains were made for crops and in eras without any biotech due to
conventional plant breeding and management practices such as high inputs of
fertilizer and herbicides. Yield gains are levelling off in recent
years.
Union of Concerned Scientists. Biotechnology's
Broken Promises. Recent reports challenge Biotech Industry's Claims about
Genetically Engineered Crops. Washington, DC: February 17, 2010. Handout at AAAS
Annual Meeting.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
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WHOSE HAND IS
TO BE ON THE THERMOSTAT? - GEOENGINEERING THE CLIMATE
A number of the sessions at the AAAS 2010
Annual Meeting outlined societal strategies for responding to the climate
crisis, a potential emergency on a global scale (1). Some of the sessions
concluded that the transition to a zero-or-near-zero-emissions energy system is
unlikely to happen fast enough to deal with climate change.
One session on geoengineering discussed in a
major report by the UK Royal Society released in September 2009. David Keith,
Director of the Energy and Environmental Systems Group, University of Calgary,
who has written about geoengineering was among those discussing the study. Keith
started by declaring a conflict of interest because he owns a company involved
in geoengineering technologies. Geoengineering is defined as the deliberate
large scale intervention in the Earth's climate system in order to moderate
global warming.
Keith said that over the years there has
discussion about planet-scale engineering to deal with climate, for example in
the 1965 report to President Johnson by the science advisory committee.(2) While
the Royal Society report continues to put the main priority on reducing global
greenhouse emissions, if countries continue to burn fossil fuels for the next
number of decades, the long-term consequences will be very threatening.
Geoengineering may become a Plan B but any deliberate large-scale intervention
in the Earth's climate system to moderate global warming raises social, legal,
and political issues as well as scientific and technical ones. One country or
private entity could create impacts extending beyond national boundaries so the
governance of such methods needs to be in place at a global level. The purpose
of the report is to recommend only geoengineering methods demonstrated to be
safe, effective, sustainable and affordable and also to foster well-informed
debate and to reduce confusion and misinformation about other potential
methods.. Key questions many of which are barely answered yet include: What is
geoengineering? Do we need it? How could it be done? Is it feasible? At what
costs? What are the unintended consequences?
There are two different categories of
geoengineering:
1. Carbon dioxide removal techniques which
directly address global warming by removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere
Examples: land use to protect carbon sinks, biomass for sequestration e.g.
biochar, enhancing natural weathering to remove CO2, engineered capture of CO2
from the air, fertilizing of oceans to take up more CO2
2. Solar radiation management techniques which
don't affect the concentration of greenhouse gases but cause the earth to absorb
less solar radiation. Examples: increase reflectivity of the planet's surface
with white roofs or covering deserts with reflective material, enhance marine
cloud reflectivity, mimic volcanoes by spraying sulphate aerosols into the lower
atmosphere, place shields such as mirrors in space to prevent sunlight reaching
the earth.
Among some of the observations
are:
- Geoengineering should only be part of a wider
range of actions. None of the methods offer an immediate solution to global
warming nor are they a replacement for emission reductions. For example,
Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change should agree to
reduce global emissions by at least 50% of 1990 levels by 2050 and more after
that.
- Removal techniques are preferable to solar
radiation methods because removal takes a step in returning the global
atmosphere to what humans are used to. There are fewer uncertainties and risks
but removal hasn't been demonstrated to be effective at removing much CO2: it
takes many decades and is expensive to remove enough CO2 to make a difference
to the global temperature. If an affordable timely method of carbon removal is
developed, it might be possible to reduce CO2 concentrations enough to reduce
acidification of the oceans. Once in place, these methods have to be
maintained for decades, and probably centuries.
- Solar radiation methods should not be applied
unless they become essential to rapid limit or reduce global average
temperatures. Aerosols are considered the most promising. Only those methods
with a clear exit strategy should be considered.
- While methods may be technically feasible,
the technologies have not be developed.
- If developed, the methods may work in one
sense but may have globally, locally and regionally harmful impacts. Also
testing technologies on a small scale may not reveal what the effects are when
applied on a large scale.
- The method should be reversible, both
politically and technically. A technology is seen to be inflexible (ie less
likely to be reversible) if it has "long lead times from idea to application,
capital intensity, large scale of production units, major infrastructure
requirements, closure or resistance to criticism and hype about performance
and benefits." The more of these factors exist, the more caution about
adoption of this technology.
Different methods in each category are
different in their effectiveness (e.g. spatial scale and uniformity of the
effect), timeliness (e.g. state of readiness for implementation), costs (e.g.
deployment and operations - cost estimates are extremely tentative), and
environmental/safety impacts (e.g predictability, verifiability of effects,
level of potential to go wrong on a large scale). These affect implications for
public policy. Each method is reviewed in the report with a technical
description and an evaluation of the four technical criteria (effectiveness,
timeliness, safety and costs) on a low, medium, high scale.
Discussion and recommendations also related to
the kind of research needed not only on technical aspects but also on factors
such as public reaction and acceptance/resistance, eligibility of these methods
for programs such as Clean Development Mechanisms, and governance and
regulations required e.g compensation for those adversely affected. Overall,
though, the intent of this report is to encourage research on the consequences
of deploying these methods because these scientists think it possible that not
just one but a number of geoengineering technologies may be implemented as
greenhouse gas emissions rise. Some call it hubris and dangerous to try to "fix
the sky" (humans haven't had very much experience in planet management) while
this report calls it "Plan B". It sure makes one think that high level
scientists have projected a scenario of climate change that is highly risky to
ignore.
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EARTH SYSTEMS
ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT
Braden Allenby, who is best known to GL for
his work on industrial ecology and design for the environment in the 1990s, has
in recent years discussed geoengineering but has a different view as to the
important factors defining what geoengineering is. He says humans have to "begin
learning how to work within the complex systems that characterise the
Anthropocene (1)." He identifies the "real geoengineering" as "The Five
Horsemen": nanotechnology, biotechnology, robotics, information and
communication technology and cognitive science (e.g. telepathic helmet). While
some see the term Horsemen as invariably linked to the Apocalypse, not so
Allenby who sees opportunity as long as humans observe the principles of "Earth
Systems Engineering and Management" some of which are:
- Not intervening unless necessary and then
only to the extent required (humility in the face of complexity)
- Responding to major challenges such as
climate change is not only about technology and science S & T but also
must take cultural, ethical and religious factors into account. However, S
& T should not claim ethical, political and ethical preferential status to
achieve social goals.
- Initiatives should have explicit and
transparent objectives and/or performance criteria. Metrics should be in place
to allow evaluation of the complex systems and be used to identify
problems.
- ESEM projects should be incremental and
reversible as much as possible.
- ESEM projects deal with complex adaptive
systems that are inherently unpredictable. Until now we haven't developed the
institutional flexibility and adaptability to deal with these types of
systems.
GL found these types of AAAS presentations
somewhat disturbing. There were several in the same vein. While the general
public and media seem to be still thinking that climate change as a figment,
there are some such as Allenby who have been involved in studying environmental
threats and issues who are going to a place where no man or woman (except James
Lovelock perhaps) has gone before: concluding that the earth is inevitably not
going to function on its own but require planet management. Gulp!
Allenby, Braden. . Technological Change and
Earth Systems: A Critique of Geoengineering. Arizona State University. February
19, 2010.
****************************************************
SCIENTIFIC
RESEARCH AWARD: BEST PUBLISHED PAPER
Several people at the AAAS meeting asked us
what we were doing in San Diego when we could be at the Olympics in Vancouver.
But we did get to see a medal anyway.
One of our associates sat next to Mark
Clampin. He is a scientist at the Exoplanets and Stellar Astrophysics Laboratory
at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. He and others including leader of the
team Christian Marois, now at the Herzberg Institute of Astrophysics in
Victoria, British Columbia, won the AAAS Newcomb Cleveland Prize. The award was
for the most outstanding paper published in Science between June 1, 2008 and May
31, 2009. The paper included for the first time a visible light photo of a
planet outside our solar system, this one at a distance of 25 light years, taken
with the Hubble Space Telescope. Although there are about 300 known planetary
systems besides ours, pictures of planets have been impossible to get because at
these large distances, they appear to be very small and dim and so close to
their host sun-star that it has been difficult to get a separate image of the
planet. Dr. Clampin was generous enough to show us his bronze medal which
included his name and the inscription "For outstanding contribution to science."
Understanding other planets might give us greater incentive to preserve the one
we live on.
Athletes were garnering world attention for
their medals at the 2010 Olympics. It seems unlikely but perhaps one day, medals
received by scientists will also generate such public fervour.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
****************************************************
SCIENTIFIC
FREEDOM AND RESPONSIBILITY AWARD
Money from corporations and government to pay
for research can be essential and a good thing except when those paying the
piper want to call the tune. When in 1997, Dr. Nancy Olivieri published a paper
on harmful side effects caused by a drug used in a clinical trial, she breached
the confidentiality agreement with the drug company, Apotex. Since then she has
suffered many actions against her to this day but during the AAAS meeting she
was recognized for her integrity and courage receiving the AAAS Award for
Scientific Freedom and Responsibility. The ability of companies to pay for
research and to publish only studies positive to their claim is one of the
bigger dangers for policy-makers especially if governments reduce spending on
scientific research.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
****************************************************
BAD
PRESENTATION BINGO
One of the handouts at the AAAS conference was
a sheet with the title Bad Presentation Bingo, which is intended by the Illinois
Science Council to encourage scientists to consider the presentation as well as
the content. Among the squares were:
- speaks too softly; no mic.
- glued to podium, stiff as a corpse.
- text-heavy slides. GL notes that this is the
most common problem of all: slides with text so dense and small, you can't
read it in the time available before the next slide and way too small a font
(which is actually in another of the BINGO squares).
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
****************************************************
LETTER TO
EDITOR
SUBJECT:
GREENING ONTARIO'S UNIVERSITIES GL V14 N12
Hi Colin,
Georgian College isn't a university, but its
University Partnerships Centre now has about 2000 university students taking
courses with several universities (eg: Laurentian, York, Windsor, U of T's OISE,
Central MIchigan, & others) here in Barrie.
Georgian had a number of remarkable energy
initiatives, several of which are saving so much money that they more than pay
for the cost of the loans taken out to install them.
I was very impressed with what they had done
several years ago. Georgian has built some new buildings since then and I expect
that the best energy efficiency technology has been incorporated into the
designs.
Peter Bursztyn
Barrie, Ontario
****************************************************
THIRTY SECOND
SUMMARY
Science and Budgets Matter: Perhaps
Canada's best well-known science-popularizer David Suzuki writes a regular
column called Science Matters. He and Faisal Moola, director of science at the
David Suzuki Foundation, wrote a column on the federal budget saying that the
short term emphasis on resources in the "Jobs and Growth Budget" would "would
make little sense from a long-range perspective. Where will the jobs - and
indeed, the growth - be when the oil runs out, or when all of our economic
resources have to be put toward controlling or adapting to the devastating
effects of climate change? "
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
***
Federal SD: The Globe and Mail blog
called Ottawa Notebook carried a story which suggested that federal Environment
Minister Jim Prentice is waking up to the importance of environment to Canadians
by launching a consultation on the federal sustainable development strategy for
Canada. It sounded too good to be true and indeed it was. As comments to the
blog indicated, the government is required to develop the strategy. Canada's
Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development has mentioned his
responsibility to review the yet-to-be-developed strategy in his annual
reports.
The Federal Sustainable Development Act which
was assented to June 26, 2008 says, "Within two years after this Act comes into
force and within every three-year period after that, the Minister shall develop,
in accordance with this section, a Federal Sustainable Development Strategy
based on the precautionary principle." So the deadline for the strategy is June
26, 2010 but the consultation continues to July 12, 2010 with further time
delays in formulating the strategy. Comments can be sent to The deadline for the
consultation sdobdd@ec.gc.ca or mailed to
Federal Sustainable Development
Office
10 Wellington Street, 25th Floor
Environment Canada
Gatineau, QC K1A 0H3
A summary of the public input received will be
posted online shortly after the completion of the review period.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
Environment Canada - Sustainable Development -
Public Consultation on the Federal Sustainable Development Strategy. March 15,
2010. http://www.ec.gc.ca/dd-sd/default.asp?lang=En&n=E19EE696-1 [Find link here also for consultation document -
Planning for a Sustainable Future: A Federal Sustainable Development Strategy
for Canada]
****************************************************
THE GREEN WAY
VIA THE GREENWAY
Ontario Nature, a conservation group, has
published a report reviewing the Natural Heritage Policies for Southern Ontario.
Five major "lacks" are outlined:
1. The lack of an effective, system-based
approach to natural heritage planning and protection
2. The lack of monitoring of Ontario’s
large-scale land use plans
3. Insufficient constraints on infrastructure
development in policies intended to protect natural
heritage values
4. Insufficient constraints on aggregate
extraction in policies intended to protect natural
heritage values
5. The lack of inter-ministerial coordination
in developing and implementing policies to protect
natural heritage features and
systems
Despite these lacks, the Ontario government is
given credit for having "taken significant steps in recent years to incorporate
the concept of sustainability into provincial policy, including the
consideration of smart growth, landscape ecology and conservation biology
principles in matters of land use planning and development and biodiversity
protection." Some of these are described and 24 recommendations are offered to
address the gaps in these policies.
Caroline Schultz, Executive Director, in her
email alert on the report writes, "Why is a Greenway important? A Greenway will
conserve sensitive ecosystems, protect waterways, improve air and soil quality,
protect and restore natural areas for wildlife and species at risk, enhance
human health and well-being and, critically, enable wildlife to adapt to the
anticipated impacts of climate change...As the province’s human population
grows, and the likelihood of negative impacts from climate change increases, we
need courageous and forward thinking initiatives like the Greenway to safeguard
the biodiversity of southern and eastern Ontario."
****************************************************
JASON BROWN:
OUR DAYS ARE NUMBERED
In Our Days Are Numbered, Dalhousie University
mathematics professor covers an array of topics ranging from party games (such
as when one is likely to be thought a whiz by saying that at least two people in
the room have the same birthday), how graphs tell the truth or lie, how Google
uses mathematics for prioritizing searching, to how music is essentially
mathematical. While environment is mentioned such as on climate change decisions
and the best routing of garbage pickup, the environmental examples are among
many which illustrate the range of concepts Brown discusses often in an
entertaining way.
Some of the lessons a reader might learn
include:
- that government rules allow consumers to be
misled. For example, in food labelling Brown says that the Canadian government
rules say that if the amount of transfat is less than 2 grams per 100 grams of
food, the company can report it as zero. So a company selling a pouch of 100
grams with .2 grams of transfat would have to declare it as .2 g but if they
reduce the pouch size to .95 grams then the amount of transfat would be .19 g
so the label can read zero grams of transfat even though it is not
zero.
- that what we intuitively know can be dead
wrong, for example, one might believe that if you take a bunch of very small
numbers they don't add up to very much. In fact, a huge number of small
numbers (e.g. ½ + 1/3 + 1/4 + 1/8....) add up to surprisingly large numbers
which of course, funds companies such as those which collect a small amount of
money on a huge number of transactions on the Internet.
- that correlation doesn't mean causation.
Things can be correlated positively e.g. height and weight - a taller person
is likely to weigh more; or negatively e.g. Brown suggests level of
mathematical education and number of women dated. However, although studies
may indicate high correlation, the correlation of two factors doesn't mean
that one factor caused the other. Something else may have caused both factors.
For example, drinking and lung cancer may be correlated but the people who
drink more may also smoke which is the root cause of the cancer but not of the
drinking.
The light-hearted approach doesn't necessarily
make this book exactly a piece of cake to understand if one feels
mathematically-challenged; one could easily read it more than once. In GL's
view, Brown has found a great way to encourage basic understanding of
mathematics including graphs, statistics, probability and even fractals. Such
basic understanding is essential if the public and decision-makers are to
connect the dots between science and policy. Brown writes, "A little mathematics
can take us far. And it's not only the calculations and concepts that can be so
helpful but even the perspective mathematics offers. Life is full of problems,
begging for solutions..What mathematics can do is add to our bag of tricks for
problem solving, thereby dramatically increasing our chances of success.
Mathematics can sweep away some of the limits we pose on ourselves, if only we
are receptive. One of my favourite quotes is Paul Erdos' "My brain is open," a
sentiment I think we should all aspire to." GL says, "Count us in, Professor
Brown." The book is among the three books shortlisted for the Evelyn Richardson
Memorial Literary Prize for Non-Fiction said to be the top non-fiction award in
Atlantic Canada. The book recognized must be by a Nova Scotian. The winner will
be announced April 14.
****************************************************
SALTWORKS: ON
LIST FOR GLOBE AWARD FOR EMERGING TECHNOLOGY
Saltworks Technologies Inc. was one of three
finalists for the Globe 2010 Award for Excellence in Emerging Technology that
was recently awarded in Vancouver. The other two nominees in this category were
Climate Smart Businesses Inc. and Dow Chemical Canada ULC. Dow was the winner
for solar shingles.
Technology Review, an information service of
MIT, reviewed Saltworks Technologies' desalination process. Saltworks
Technologies is a Vancouver-based company that was founded in 2008. Ben Sparrow,
the engineer who founded the company, spoke of the technology and said "We've
taken it from a benchtop prototype to a fully functional seawater pilot plant."
Most desalination plants are energy-intensive and expensive. Saltworks'
innovation is using ionic exchange instead of the common distillation through
evaporation-condensation or membrane filtration through reverse osmosis. Using
solar evaporation or waste heat from a nearby industrial facility before
desalinating leads to a process that claims to save 80% of the energy commonly
used in desalination.
SDTC
FUNDING
In September 2009, Saltworks received funding
from Sustainable Development Technology Canada SDTC for "building and testing a
commercial-scale 5,000 liter/ day transportable pilot plant for seawater and
brackish industrial water treatment."
Although SDTC issued its 17th call for
applications for funding for clean technology at the end of February, the
federal budget cuts may mean funding for clean technology may be much less
available.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
****************************************************
CLIMATE ACTION
NETWORK: CANADA'S FEDERAL GOVERNMENT MUZZLING SCIENCE
A large network of environmental groups,
unions, and conservation and nature groups has issued a report charging that the
government of Canada is muzzling its scientists on climate change. Graham Saul, Executive Director of Climate Action Network
Canada is quoted in the press release, "“While the government’s inaction on climate change is
well-known, this report uncovers new evidence of Environment Canada’s successful efforts to restrict media
access to its own scientists, effectively burying the truth. It has become virtually impossible to believe this
government when they claim to support the science of climate change, because
they’re behaving more like a group of climate skeptics that is simply looking
for excuses not to act.” The report was
written by Andrew Cuddy, a third year student in politics and earth science at
McGill School of Environment and a member of the Canadian Youth Delegation to
the Copenhagen climate negotiations.
Among the observations in the report
are:
- federal 2010 budget cuts on climate research
particularly the Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences.
Total federal funding is said to be less than half the level it is been in the
past several years.
- Funding of infrastructure such as facilities
and equipment for climate research has increased but is not supported by costs
for operating labs and conducting research.
- In 2007, the independent National Science
Advisor was replaced by a Science, Technology and Innovation Council reporting
to the Minister of Industry. Only a third of the members hold a position
related to conducting research.
- In 2007, Environment Canada adopted a public
media relations policy requiring scientists refer all requests and questions
to experts to Media Relations. This has resulted in marked decline in media
access to science experts within Environment Canada.
- Several significant reports on climate change
were delayed for a long time sometimes only after the scientist authors
publically asked that they be released.
- Don MacIver resigned as chair of a World
Meteorological Organization World Climate Conference after he was forbidden to
attend in 2008.
- Three climate change skeptics have been
appointed by Prime Minister Harper to key granting agencies: The Natural
Sciences and Engineering Research Council and the Canada Foundation for
Innovation.
The report proceeds to discuss these and other
matters in more detail saying, "What we uncovered, and have documented in this
report, is a troubling catalogue of actions by the present federal government
that undermine Canadian climate science research and its
practitioners."
The Climate Action Network is a network of
NGOs, including Algonquin Wildlands League, Assembly of First Nations, United
Church of Canada, Pembina, United Steelworkers of America, KAIROS, Nature
Canada, and many other groups.
Climate Action Network Canada 1 Nicholas
Street, Suite 412 Ottawa, Ontario, K1N 7B7 Phone: 613-241-4413 Email:
info@climateactionnetwork.ca
Climate Action Network Canada. New report
details government actions that undermine
research into the science of climate change.
March 15, 2010.
and
Cuddy, Andrew. Troubling Evidence The Harper
Government’s Approach to Climate Science Research in Canada. Climate Action
Network. March 2010 Troubling Evidence The Harper Government’s Approach to
Climate Science Research in Canada By Andrew Cuddy Ottawa, Ontario: Climate
Action Network. March 2010
****************************************************
MICROCHIPS:
PAY AS YOU THROW
A UK group called Big Brother Watch, a
taxpayer group, has produced a report on the use of microchips installed in
garbage bins in the United Kingdom. The report says that 68 local authorities in
Britain and Northern Ireland has installed microchips in bins at about 2.6
million households. South Norfolk is the only community which has began a pilot
program which was abandoned partly due to public negativity and partly due to
technical difficulty: in some cases during the cold the chips failed. The idea
is to weigh the bins to allow for charging for waste. Objections
include:
- Privacy. Right now the chips only collect
weight but fear is that they might be used to collect composition revealing
too much about the goods and interests of the household. Content is important.
Some local authorities ban certain items from the garbage e.g.
electronics.
- Hazard of theft. Weight could reveal whether
the family is at home or on holiday. GL notes that this might not apply if
households reduced garbage as we only put out garbage sporadically with
nothing for 6-8 weeks even though we are home during all or most of that
period.
- Possibility of increased fees/fines. Chip
monitoring could support both increasing charges for garbage disposal and
punitive fines for lack of compliance.
- Increased litter as people trying to avoid
monitoring of certain items and fees/fines.
GL thinks the privacy issue is very important
and needs to be addressed but may be similar to smart meters which provide more
information about whether the persons might be at home or away and some level of
details, depending on the nature of the meter, about what the household is
doing. The idea of charging for garbage won't go away although there may be
alternatives to charging the home owner such as Germany where there is more of a
focus at charging the seller/manufacturer/distributor.
Paid subscribers see link to original
documents and references here.
****************************************************
TRUTH IN FUN:
THE IG NOBLE AWARDS
At the AAAS conference, a number of winners of
the 2009 Ig Noble Awards spoke on their research to much applause from the
rather-well-informed and appreciative audience. For example, Donald L. Unger won
the 2009 Ig Noble Medicine Prize. He told the story of how when he was young,
his mother told him not to crack his knuckles because he would get arthritis in
his fingers. So for more than sixty years he cracked the knuckles of his left
hand but never cracked the knuckles of his right hand. Now he is in his
eighties, he said he can confidently say that his mother was wrong: cracking
your knuckles does not inevitably cause arthritis.
The Ig Nobles awards are organized by the
magazine Annals of Improbable Research which promotes itself as research which
makes you laugh and think. In 2009, they were handed out by genuine Nobel
Laureates, nine of them. The Twentieth 1st Annual Ig Nobel Prize ceremony will
happen on Thursday, September 30, 2010. The ceremony is co-sponsored by the
Harvard-Radcliffe Society of Physics Student, the Harvard-Radcliffe Science
Fiction Association, and the Harvard Computer Society.
GL's editor realized why this is an example of
why he chose not to accept the opportunity to become a research chemist: there
is way too much repetition involved. Although some climate
sceptics/deniers/outliers seem willing to see a vast conspiracy by climate
researchers to con the public by getting grants for their research, GL sees the
long years of education (apparently the average age of those who obtain grants
from the US National Institute of Health is 42), most get only a salary and do
work which in some cases is equivalent to cracking the left knuckle but not the
right for years and years. To take lessons from Winston Churchill: when he was
in the military in his early 20s, he sought to participate in all the active
campaigns (e.g Cuba, India, Egypt) he could but some thought he was gadding
about too much for glory and should stay with his regiment practicising. Later
as First Admiral, he routinely used to override what he called "red-tape
curmudgeons" trying to deny permission for such enthusiasm. Churchill said that
after all, what were young applicants for action really asking for but to take a
bullet. The analogy with climate researchers seems to be similar: what are they
asking for but support for doing what we as society need done and for the most
part, while they might find it exciting, most of us would find a lot of that
research rather a slog.
Unger, L. Donald. "Does Knuckle Cracking Lead
to Arthritis of the Fingers?", Donald L. Unger, Arthritis and Rheumatism, vol.
41, no. 5, 1998, pp. 949-50.
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